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October 06, 2014

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Tom Griffin

Have the programmatic tories actually set their faces against the industries with the most potential dynamism to be unlocked in the medium-long term: renewebles, electric vehicles, energy storage etc.

Stevenclarkesblog.wordpress.com

I agree with the division, but I'm not sure if you've got the right people either side of it.

The optimistic Thatcherites want a dynamic, capitalist society.

As Marx said:

"Constant revolutionising of production, uninterrupted disturbance of all social conditions, everlasting uncertainty and agitation distinguish the bourgeois epoch from all earlier ones. All fixed, fast-frozen relations, with their train of ancient and venerable prejudices and opinions, are swept away, all new-formed ones become antiquated before they can ossify. All that is solid melts into air, all that is holy is profaned..."

Thatcherism is not small-c conservative. The free market will eventually disrupt old ways of doing things and old social relations.

I suspect UKIP voters are those who fear this change and disruption - who hanker after a stability with the past.

Surely they are from the more pessimistic, Burkean strand of Toryism?

Peter K.

I don't know about the U.K. but I don't see secular stagnation in the U.S. The economy isn't doing well because of the trade deficit/strong dollar and government austerity. Also monetary policy is at the zero lower bound.

The rightwing policy framework of leaving it all up to the free market doesn't work. There are no dilemmas when it comes to government finances and inflation.

Socialism In One Bedroom

"I suspect UKIP voters are those who fear this change and disruption - who hanker after a stability with the past."

Not being the brightest/losing their faculties fast, the UKIP supporters don't really know the policies of UKIP (other than anti EU, anti Immigrant), which are in the spirit of free market. But the up side is that the workhouse will make a return, along with TB probably.

Socialism In One Bedroom

Incidentally I think this is stumbling amd mumbling its way to saying something quite profound, though I am not sure it is a reflection of capitalism in crisis but capitalism in the early stages of a new epoch.

Guano

John Redwood recently made remarks suggesting that business had in the past got policies completely wrong about Europe, that they had pushed the Tories to adopt these erroneous policies and that this had kept the Tories out of office after 1997. This suggest a fundamental split in the Tory Party, not just about Europe but about the role of business organisations in politics.

From Arse To Elbow

I think your intellectual admiration for Burke and Oakeshott leads you to assume that ideological projections ("sceptical, melancholy") have an actual reality in practice. Most Tories just aren't that sophisticated.

The phrase "capitalism doesn't have the oomph to grow under its own steam, so it needs the state to create and guarantee sources of profits" would stand just as well for Tory policy 120 years ago. Just substitute empire for welfare state.

The Tories have always been a fractious alliance of different capitals, all of which practice cronyism. The current realignment has more to do with the fallout of 2008/9, and the attempt to reestablish the power of finance capital, than any dawning awareness of stagnation.

rogerh

Those old hopeful days of Woomera, Dan Dare and UK dominance supported by a shiny Empire are long since pie in the sky.

I suppose if capitalism has lost its mojo it might appear to make sense to unload all non contributing factors - provided you realise the consequences. Here is my intuitive prediction for the shrunk state/leave EU option. The economy will collapse over about 10 years, unemployment soar and financial crises abound. After about 10 years desperation will force some new UK government into the loving arms of the EU and by then we can print King Charles' face on the Brit Euro. Or we can stagger on as now, I am not sure which is worse, neither way really solves anything. But leaving the EU could be good for the few who are quick on their financial feet - for the first 5 years.

Ralph Musgrave

Chris,

You claim that capitalism currently “doesn't have the oomph to grow under its own steam..” largely because of a new fangled and I think largely nonsensical new theory: secular stagnation. Keynes and others claimed (I think rightly) almost a century ago that the free market / capitalism left it its own devices will not guarantee full employment or as much growth as we could achieve. Thus there is nothing new in the idea that capitalism doesn’t have enough oomph.

An Alien Visitor

"Most Tories just aren't that sophisticated."

It isn't a matter of being sophisticated or not. It is more of a sub conscious argument taking place, or the views put forward are not within a philosophical framework but more clumsy, more off the cuff. But it still represents reality.

You appear to be making the mistake of assuming theory and practice are the same.

jcee

The UK has its unique challenges, not least on the housing front. A report by Shelter with input from KPMG forecasts that by 2034 average home prices in the UK will be over 930,000 pounds sterling. Capitalism is increasingly becoming a gun pointed at the head of the financially vulnerable. Some of the stories relating to the housing crisis -parents using funds set aside for retirement, remortgaging etc or providing shelter for sons and daughters who despite being employed can't afford a place of their own makes depressing reading.

How many years has it been since the financial meltdown? Not only has the elusive "recovery" failed to materialize, the situation is rapidly deteriorating. The dark cloud over the proceedings at the recent meeting of the European Central Bank speaks volumes.

guthrie

"The latter - associated with Thatcherism, the Britannia Unchained crew and Tory defectors to Ukip - goes like this: if only we can shrink the state, cut red tape, get out of the EU and restrict workers' rights, we'll unleash the dynamism of British entrepreneurs and enjoy strong growth.

However, whilst this might have worked in the 80s,"

Eh? I don't think it worked in the 80's either; Thatcher certainly didn't leave behind a smaller government, and any economy will grow after a few years if you first destroy it.

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