If you want a long life, win a Nobel prize.
This paper (pdf) by Andrew Oswald and Matthew Rablen estimates that Americans who won Nobel prizes for physics or chemistry between 1901 and 1950 lived 2.08 years longer than scientists of equal age who were nominated for Nobels but never won them.
This is not because Nobel prize-winners were richer than nominees and richer people live longer; the longevity premium, they estimate, is uncorrelated with the real money value of the prize.
Instead, this confirms that high status prolongs life; here's other evidence, from Oscar winners.
This matters enormously.
The difference in status between a Nobel prize winner and a nominee is small; both are enormously successful and respected people. So, if small differences in status at high levels lead to big differences in longevity, isn't it possible that the bigger status differences across society might explain some of the large differences (pdf) in life expectancy?
If so, isn't it important that we at least ensure that inequalities in status are merited?
The findings may be correct but the inference is probably wrong.
They appear to have overlooked the facts that
a) Nobel prizes are not given post-humously.
b) There are many famous examples where the prize was awarded decades after the research was published etc.
Ergo, for a given group of equally deserving nominees, the committee is more likely to award something to the older rather than the younger candidates. Firstly there are more older candidates to choose from, and secondly, if a chap is on his last legs they'll give him the benefit of the doubt.
The figures would have to be re-worked to control for the fact that the Nobel prize winner is probably older than the other nominees at the time of nomination.
E.g. if you take a group of 80 years olds and a group of 10 year olds, the 10 year olds have a much higher remaining life expectancy, but a LOWER total life expectancy as many will die before they reach 80.
Posted by: Mark Wadsworth | January 26, 2007 at 02:49 PM
It's a good point, Mark - but the authors anticipated it. They compared prize-winners' longevity to that of non-winners of equal age.
Posted by: chris | January 26, 2007 at 03:24 PM
The wealth point is a hoot because they used only the Nobel bit of someone's wealth, not the total. And must, I suppose, have ended up studying rather a narrow range of wealth, so that any correlation would be silly.
Anyway, I hope it rubs off. I went to a party once where my host said "Come to the kitchen - I've got three Nobel prize winners in there."
Posted by: dearieme | January 26, 2007 at 03:42 PM
I think there is a sampling problem. The entire increase in longevity for Nobel winners is due to the inclusion of Milton Friedman.
Posted by: kharris | January 26, 2007 at 04:50 PM
The possible explanations that (a) there is a correlation between intellectual and physical superiority (gosh, doesn't that sound politically incorrect), or (b) that higher ability leads to better dietary behaviour, seem to be given scant space by either of the papers referenced.
I note the first paper refers to a study on monkeys which claims to have controlled for these possible factors by "manipulating rank". That seems to be as close as we get to a discussion of the alternatives. I'm unable to read the monkey study as it isn't online, but I would be surprised if monkey troops are really as amenable to exogenous leader selection as this suggests.
Posted by: Fabian Tassano | January 26, 2007 at 06:26 PM
"or (b) that higher ability leads to better dietary behaviour"
I love the idea that Nobel runners-up are sat around each tea time eating Iceland chicken dippers with oven chips and tomato sauce.
Posted by: Scratch | January 26, 2007 at 06:49 PM
kharris, that something else that puzzles me, how come famus economists seem to live until they're ninety but famous physicists peg it much sooner. And it's not just Friedman, it's Galbraith and so on.
Posted by: Mark Wadsworth | January 26, 2007 at 08:13 PM
Why is it "important that we at least ensure that inequalities in status are merited"?. What is the moral philosophy that allow you (or anyone else) to decide who has merited high status? To put it another way I dislike Paris Hilton and her shallow lifestyle but I am not going to elevate my preferences above others who consider her a "high status" individual.
Posted by: ChrisA | January 28, 2007 at 10:52 AM
"how come famus economists seem to live until they're ninety but famous physicists peg it much sooner"
Economists don't handle radioactive materials. Though some should.
Posted by: dave heasman | January 30, 2007 at 03:45 PM