It looks as if the Lib Dems are falling into the error that blighted the Tories for years after 1997 - believing that their problems will be solved, if only they can find the right leader.
This highlights one of the paradoxes of our political culture: that as the real world has become increasingly sceptical in recent years about the power of leadership, political parties have become more obsessed with it.
Outside of politics, we've learnt since the around the mid-80s that decentralized decision-making often works best - this is the lesson of the collapse of the Soviet Union; that individuals lack the knowledge or cognitive power to control big organizations; that there's wisdom in crowds rather than in centralized organizations; that self-managed structures are more flexible than top-down ones; and that network governance deals better than hierarchy with complexity.
Sensible organizations have learnt from this - hence the delayering of many corporate bureaucracies and growth of outsourcing. It's a very dim firm these days that thinks the personality of its chief executive matters more than corporate structure, strategy or market positioning.
But when we look at political parties, we see the opposite development - an increasing obsession with leadership and centralism; just look how party conferences have declined from policy-making bodies to mere rallies.
I suspect one reason why increasing numbers of us aren't voting or joining mainstream parties is a dissatisfaction, albeit inarticulated, with this fixation upon leadership.
This raises the question: why are the parties out of step with public sentiment and intellectual developments?
Undoubtedly, the MSM is part of the story. Its obsession with personalities rather than difficult questions of policy, allied to journalists' natural tendency to cringe in front of wealth, power and "senior sources", encourages the leadership illusion. But is this the whole story?
This is a good theme to hammer away on and I'm glad you hammer at it so well. But I fear that you overestimate the smartness of the private sector:
"It's a very dim firm these days that thinks the personality of its chief executive matters more than corporate structure, strategy or market positioning."
Really?
My impression is that firms think personality of CEOs matters a whole lot and that they are just as vulnerable to the lure of leadership+managerialism as the public sector.
Posted by: tom s. | October 16, 2007 at 03:56 PM
I'm inclined to agree, but be careful not to mix up two separate forms of authority. You say that "we've learnt since the around the mid-80s that decentralized decision-making often works best" but that implies exclusive emphasis on what 'works'. That's a technocratic assumption (I shan't say you're being managerialist!).
Weber famously distinguishes between bureaucratic legitimacy and charismatic legitimacy. The first is assured on the basis that things 'work'; the second is assured on the basis that people are aesthetically/emotionally affected by it. People, including Weber himself, crave charismatic legitimacy, precisely because even - or especially - very bureaucratically effective organisations leave them feeling empty.
So there's no contradiction between recognising that decentralised decision-making works best, and having a yearning for someone who will inject something vibrant and feintly irrational into public life.
Posted by: Will | October 16, 2007 at 04:31 PM
The most obvious example is Michael Howard replacing IDS (in the other two three Tory changes of recent times, Major - Hague, Hague - IDS, and Howard - Cameron, there was a leadershp vacancy and one because the leader happiyly left), and I really think the Tories did better in 2005 under Howard than they would have done under IDS.
Posted by: Matthew | October 16, 2007 at 04:40 PM
The _personality_ of the leader may not matter, but their ability does. Put a clueless loser as the manager of anything and watch it fall apart.
Perhaps the Lib Dems thought Ming was incapable, rather than merely lacking in charisma.
Posted by: william | October 16, 2007 at 06:09 PM
"we've learnt since the around the mid-80s that decentralized decision-making often works best": I observe the managerial failing here of thinking everything is new. The Royal Navy practised decentralized decision-making for many a century.
Posted by: dearieme | October 16, 2007 at 09:51 PM
As a long time sceptic of the "great men" theory of history, I should agree but I am somehow reluctant. I think it has always been that way. Squabbling over the top job, (and watching people do it) is a primate thing. We've been doing it since we were more like baboons.
Posted by: reason | October 18, 2007 at 11:21 AM
The Lib Dem are still the only major party who are not pragmatic. They never swapped to win undecided votes - that's why I consider them future party
Posted by: Faisal | October 18, 2007 at 08:36 PM
"Undoubtedly, the MSM is part of the story. Its obsession with personalities rather than difficult questions of policy..."
I speculate that this is an effect of TV journalism. It can show people doing things much more easily than make reasoned arguments about policy. So instead of (for example) an argument about policy options about the environment, we get photo ops of David Cameron bicycling to Norway.
They show people, not policies.
Blogs may offer an alternative, so in the long term people may start to pay more attention to policy, but this sort of change takes time. After all, right now, no normal person reads a blog on politics.
Posted by: ad | October 22, 2007 at 07:16 PM