1. This week's events mean that, as Guido says, "never again will the U.S. be able to preach the advance of free markets to developing countries with authority." But this raises the question: in what way does the US have more freedoms than we Europeans? I mean, it's not obvious that it's a low-tax country. So what are you freer to do in the US than western Europe? Not smoke a Cuban cigar or spliff. So what? And why then do Americans talk of being the land of the free much more than we Europeans?
2. The week's events have also shown that lightly regulated capitalism leaves something to be desired. So far, many of the responses to this have been from people who were sceptical all along: me blaming ownership structures and hierarchy, Russ Roberts blaming regulation (the two aren't mutually exclusive) for example.
But who is going to stand up and say: "I was wrong to support the existing system"?
3.In this masterpiece of onion-peeling, Katherine Bucknell writes:
2. The week's events have also shown that lightly regulated capitalism leaves something to be desired. So far, many of the responses to this have been from people who were sceptical all along: me blaming ownership structures and hierarchy, Russ Roberts blaming regulation (the two aren't mutually exclusive) for example.
But who is going to stand up and say: "I was wrong to support the existing system"?
3.In this masterpiece of onion-peeling, Katherine Bucknell writes:
I feel sorriest for those City workers in their thirties or forties, who are still driven and ambitious, who have not yet had their turn to run the show or accumulate a decent-sized pile, and have young families.
I don't get this. I worked in the City for less than 10 years at vastly less than superstar level, and yet - in my early 40s - I'm not far off being able to afford to retire, thanks in large part to the fact that London house prices quintupled between the early 90s and 2007. So how can someone who spent 10 more years in the industry than me - on much bigger money - possibly be remotely hard up? The question gains force from the fact that they should have guessed that the good times mightn't last; why do you think I sold my flat when I did?
4. In Predictably Irrational- which I recommend - Dan Ariely cites an experiment which shows that when people order food and drink, many choose not what they want, but what will project an image to others; American students choose what others' haven't, to signal their uniqueness, whilst Chinese signal conformity.
But I've never done either; when I'm eating out with others, I just choose what I want, and I suspect the others do too.
Which raises the question. Could it be that other findings in behavioural economics are also cultural artefacts, which might not travel well? Could the experiments which reveal departures from rationality tell us about American students - the experimental subjects - but not necessarily anyone else?
4. In Predictably Irrational- which I recommend - Dan Ariely cites an experiment which shows that when people order food and drink, many choose not what they want, but what will project an image to others; American students choose what others' haven't, to signal their uniqueness, whilst Chinese signal conformity.
But I've never done either; when I'm eating out with others, I just choose what I want, and I suspect the others do too.
Which raises the question. Could it be that other findings in behavioural economics are also cultural artefacts, which might not travel well? Could the experiments which reveal departures from rationality tell us about American students - the experimental subjects - but not necessarily anyone else?
Dan Ariely cites an experiment which shows that when people order food and drink, many choose not what they want, but what will project an image to others
Quite an interesting thread to pursue, that.
Posted by: jameshigham | September 21, 2008 at 06:19 PM
"never again will the U.S. be able to preach the advance of free markets to developing countries with authority."
President Bush has been distracted by all those wars.
As former US Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill revealed in a TV interview in 2004, the Bush administration started planning for the forthcoming Iraq war as soon as it came into office in January 2001, months before 9/11
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/01/10/oneill.bush/
And there was a lot of arranging to do.
"WASHINGTON — A soon-to-be-released audit will show that at least $8.8 billion in Iraqi money that was given to Iraqi ministries by the former U.S.-led authority there cannot be accounted for, FOX News has confirmed. And three senators want to know where the cash is."
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,129489,00.html
Posted by: Bob B | September 21, 2008 at 07:36 PM
"lightly regulated capitalism leaves something to be desired": everything in real life leaves something to be desired. It's not clear to me whether the regulation part of the problem is (i) light regulation, or (ii) badly designed regulation, or (iii)incompetent, negligent regulation, or (iv) corrupt regulation. The list is doubtless incomplete.
Posted by: dearieme | September 21, 2008 at 08:53 PM
Something was obviously wrong in the lead up to the Northern Rock debacle last year with offers of 125% mortgages and, by reports, applicants for mortgages being advised to lie about their incomes.
That might have worked through if the house-price bubble had gone on inflating indefinitely but economists were already warning of the bubble as far back as 2000 and nothing was done about that. If fact, Brown, as Chancellor, changed the price index for the BoE's inflation target as from February 2004 so that the index no longer included house prices. Relatively speaking, the house price bubble inflated to bigger dimensions in Britain than in America. So much for the New Labour myth that the causes of the problems with our financial institutions were imported from America.
And it wasn't as though HBOS's problems were a dark secret:
"Fear was HBOS’s greatest enemy. The bank holds about £258 billion in customer deposits, according to research by Citigroup, while it has lent its customers £456 billion. That leaves a funding gap of almost £200 billion that has to be raised from the financial markets."
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article4794925.ece
Like Northern Rock, HBOS was borrowing heavily (? recklessly) in the wholesale money market and that business model went seriously wrong when interest rates on inter-bank loans shot up. Short-selling is just a convenient scapegoat.
Posted by: Bob B | September 21, 2008 at 10:04 PM
"So what are you freer to do in the US than western Europe?"
Sleep under bridges, beg in the streets, and steal bread, of course!
Posted by: Alex | September 22, 2008 at 10:53 AM
Alex
Yes but the consequences of doing those things is more severe.
But surely this is the wrong question. The question is why does America think it should preach to the rest of world in the first place. If it really believed its own rhetoric it would just lead by shining example.
Posted by: reason | September 22, 2008 at 11:49 AM
"So what are you freer to do in the US than western Europe?"
Say what you like about whom you like, for one thing. Congres shall make no law restricting freedom of speech, or words to that effect.
Keep and bear arms for another - which was also a Briton's right up until the 1920s, when the first restrictive laws were passed by a Government afraid of Bolshevism and acutely aware of the several million young men trained in WWI. In those peaceful inter-war years, when life and limb and property were protected by the laws, few resented or felt the restriction. Not sure if that applies now.
Posted by: Laban | September 27, 2008 at 03:06 PM