The falling audience for ITV’s Daybreak highlights a failing in the labour market.
ITV hired Christine Bleakley and Adrian Chiles on multi-million pound salaries in the belief that they had the talent to attract viewers and advertising revenue. But it seems they don’t have such a talent. Their popularity at the One Show was due not to their own skills, but to organizational factors: the fact that the One Show’s viewing figures have increased since they left corroborates this.
And here’s the thing. ITV’s error is a widespread one. Employers often mistake individual talent for organizational talent, and so pay huge salaries which are in fact unjustifiable. This is a form of the fundamental attribution error.
Here are some other examples of how "talent" (or lack thereof) exists in organizations rather than people:
1. Football coaches often go from idiot to genius or vice versa as they change team. Fabio Capello seemed a great manager for most of his career - until he arrived in England. Ian Holloway was a mediocrity at Leicester but a massive success at Blackpool, and so on.
2. Boris Groysberg has shown that when Wall Street star equity analysts change firm, their performance plummets. This shows that their success is due to organizational features: corporate culture, colleagues and so on.
3. Traders at investment banks owe their success not (just) to their individual skills, but to their employers’ assets: the ability to borrow cheaply and proprietary knowledge about order flows. This is why so few go off to trade on their own account.
4. This paper (pdf) shows that cardiac surgeons’ performance changes when they move hospital:
The quality of a surgeon's performance at a given hospital improves significantly with increases in his or her recent procedure volume at that hospital but does not significantly improve with increases in his or her volume at other hospitals. Our findings suggest that surgeon performance is not fully portable across hospitals.
The message, then, is simple. What looks like individual skill is often, in truth, an artefact of organizations. However, because employers fail to appreciate this, they over-pay for “talent”. And this causes wage inequality to be greater than is rationally warranted.
This in turn has adverse effects. Some new research (pdf) shows that when workers know the distribution of pay within an organization, the worse-paid workers feel less job satisfaction, whilst the better-paid ones don’t feel happier. In this sense, wage inequality - or at knowledge of it - reduces utility.
Could some of the changes in performance be down to transition? Were the reductions in performance permanent? You might well include this (harmonious culture, colleagues who have spent a lot of time with each other etc etc) as part of the organizational talent, but surely this is not permanent. That doesn't really detract from the overpayment idea in the short term though,
And maybe Mrs Lampard can't perform in the mornings?! And on that subject, there are surely elements of this in club vs country discussions in football.
Posted by: Andrew | October 15, 2010 at 05:03 PM
Very good post. The conclusion should not obviously be to hide wage inequalities. Instead there should be full transparency in order to allow employee to redress those inequality either by obtaining adjustments under the threat of moving elsewhere - search on the jop should be easier with full transparency.
Posted by: Paolo Siciliani | October 16, 2010 at 07:44 AM
Not entirely convinced by the conclusions on this one. Shouldn't the desire of the current employer to keep their employees be accounted for because they fear the effects of transition?
Evidently in Bleakley's case the BBC overvalued her when they tried but ultimately failed to retain her services, and only had the effect of increasing her future salary:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2010/jun/21/adrian-chiles-christine-bleakley-itv-bbc
Organisations may hold the talent but it is difficult for them to evaluate whether they can manage change and will have to gamble when they want to avoid any changes.
Posted by: Tl00.wordpress.com | October 16, 2010 at 04:20 PM
A very good article about organisations by Malcolm Gladwell from 2002 - http://www.gladwell.com/2002/2002_07_22_a_talent.htm
basically his points are:
* A good organisation trumps just having good people
* A bad organisation with bad motives (example Enron) makes even good people perform badly
*Talent is overrated
Posted by: Aslangeo | October 18, 2010 at 09:15 AM
Wonder what C. Ronaldo might say to Rooney aboout this.
Posted by: john Terry's Mum | October 18, 2010 at 04:10 PM
You can include newspaper columnists.
Posted by: Michael Fowke | October 21, 2010 at 04:26 PM