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October 27, 2010

Comments

Last hun

In my opinion nationalisation remains a bad idea because incompetent politicians will be unable to resist the appetite for state sponsored / abetted lending booms. Either to favoured national champions or to homeowners which inevitably will result in a sub optimal allocation of resources.

The Silent Sceptic

I can see the theoretical value in charging this levy. What would worry me though, is what happens to it during the good years. My guess is that the government of the day will convince itself it has "abolished boom and bust" and spend the lot on trying to buy votes, meaning that when the crash comes, the cupboard is still bare and we have a painful recession exactly as we have just done.

If we therefore assume the worst of whatever government the question then is whether it is better for the government to gather the tax during the intervening period or whether to distribute the implicitly greater profits to shareholders etc.? It's not clear to me which of these you would choose, hopefully a more economically literate person might have a view.

Luis Enrique

another great quote from that speech:

"And it is hard to see why institutions whose failure cannot be contemplated should be in the private sector in the first place."

Mervyn you commie.

Carl

Perhaps the words of US NY Mayoral candidate Jimmy McMillan resonate with you, Chris?

“If they [bankers] say they [banks] are “too big to fail”, and hate the free market when it applies to them, then make them a government organisation”

[...]

“Cut the average top banker salary from $20m a year to $45,000 a year. Bankers do not deserve big money. The free market has spoken: their businesses collapsed.”

[http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2010/oct/27/jimmy-mcmillan-the-rent-is-too-damn-high]

fistofonan

@Last Hun: if not nationalised - how about mutualised?

Ralph Musgrave

The weakness in a Pigou tax is that it’s a blunt instrument: it cuts down on EVERY bank activity, good and bad. But I accept that it may be the least bad option.

A better option is to prohibit or curtail clearly undesirable bank activities. I would include in this list fractional reserve and maturity transformation (i.e. borrowing short and lending long).

There is a lecture tomorrow (Thursday 28th) at the LSE by an opponent of fractional reserve. Anyone is allowed in, but it’s first come first served.

See: http://www2.lse.ac.uk/publicEvents/events/2010/20101028t1830vSZT.aspx

Hal

Nationalisation of a large bank is a terrible idea because the potenential liabilities in a crisis are enormous. It would be like owning an unexploded bomb. At least in the private sector the government always has the option of refusing a bail-out. Very important.

Luis Enrique

a Pigou tax needn't be so blunt, there are various proposals knocking around that try to tax systemic risk but wouldn't tax banks that play safe and hence don't emit an externality

Luis Enrique

does it matter that a pigouvian tax "might not fall on the banks"? - the point of making a manufacturer pay for its pollution is to achieve the socially optimal quantity of pollution - it doesn't matter if the tax means higher prices for consumers, lower wages or lower profits.

To restate an element of a comment I requested deleted yesterday - at the moment the banks are like a polluting manufacturer whose private valuation is entirely offset by the costs its polluting imposes on society.

If we were to impose pigouvian tax (I'm hazy on this) wouldn't 2 things happen: 1. behaviour would change the reduce the quantity of pollution and 2. society would be compensated for whatever quantity of pollution that remains via taxation. Is that right?

David Andrew

You say: "Perhaps nationalization isn’t a wholly bad idea."

Mr King says, in his speech: "And it is hard to see why institutions whose failure cannot be contemplated should be in the private sector in the first place."

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