Help to work?

I fear there's an element of dog-whistle politics in George Osborne's "help to work" plan - the whistle being that he's appealing to those who wish to blame the unemployed for their plight under the guise of helping them. I say so for the following reasons:

1. This is not really about being "fair to those who pay for welfare" simply because the net exchequer cost of long-term unemployment is low. There are now 462,000 who have been out of work for over two years. With JSA at £71.70 per week, this costs £1.7bn per year - a little over 0.1% of GDP, which is well below the forecast error in government borrowing*. If Mr Osborne is serious about helping the jobless find work and reskilling them, this'll cost money. An "intensive regime of support" for addicts and illiterates won't come cheap. As I've said before, scrounging is not a major macroeconomic issue. 

2. Unemployment is a massive source of unhappiness. ONS data show that whereas only 3.7% of those in work report very low life satisfaction (0-4 on a 0-10 scale), 14.1% of the unemployed do. Worse still, the unemployed do not adapt to their situation. This suggests that, if Mr Osborne's offer of help is sincere, there needn't be any element of compulsion in it because - for the most part - the long-term unemployed do want to work.

3.There's strong evidence that many (not all) workfare programmes fail (pdf) to get people into lasting employment. This warns us that, in the wrong hands, such schemes can be more of a way of harassing and stigmatizing the unemployed than actually helping them.

4. There's a big cyclical element in long-term unemployment. It rises in recessions and falls in booms. At it's low-point, there were fewer than 150,000 who'd been out of work for two years or more. The present rate is three times this. This suggests that long-term unemployment is more about macroeconomic conditions than workshyness and folk wanting something for nothing.

Now, I don't want to be too hard on Osborne here; his speech wasn't as harsh on the unemployed as I'd feared it might be from this morning's reports. And given the huge welfare cost of joblessness, any genuine help for them is to be welcomed. I just wish politicians (of all parties) wouldn't try to mix this with the base motive of encouraging people to blame the victim.

* Yes, the unemployed are entitled to other benefits, but they're entitled to some of these if they get low-paid work. 

Comments

[steve]

I'm not here to argue your central point but do you really want us to believe that £71.70 per week is the total outlay on the LTU

[chris]

@ Steve - it's not. But some other benefits (eg housing benefit) would still be paid, in part,if the unemployed moved into work. My point that the Exchequer cost of long-term joblessness is small surely holds, however you tweak the data.

[Rich]

A few points:

- If someone starts working they'll pay taxes, so the total benefit of getting everyone from long-term unemployment to work is several billions (not that this would be achievable).

- Osborne isn't just doing this one thing, he's got to target lots and lots of "small" issues in order to dent the deficit, and one of them is long-term unemployment. He has to do all of them to make a bigger difference.

Oh no, I'm defending a George Osborne policy! So in the interests of balance:

- He's not doing much about the big issues (pensions, drugs, monopolies, rent-seeking and lack of competition in many industries, etc).

[Neil Wilson]

Exchequers in sovereign nations don't have monetary costs. Whatever they spend, pays for itself as a matter of construction - because the currency is non-convertible. It always ends up as tax and extra financial savings.

Any costs on a government are real - what alternative use is proposed for the resource that the government desires to use for the public purpose.

For the unemployed the answer to that is simple - nothing. Therefore there is zero cost to using the unemployed, and even if you put a management wrapper in place the cost is very low indeed.

The unemployed need a job offer with the public sector at the living wage, as does everybody else. That would solve so many problems, from unemployment, through zero-hour contracts, right through to using labour rather than capital items.

The implicit deal after the war was that unemployment benefit would be paid to tide people over and that the public sector would hoover up those who couldn't get work elsewhere.

That deal now needs to be made explicit as a Job Alternative Guarantee.

Everybody can and should have a JAG.

[Strategist]

With Lynton Crosby at the helm, it's going be nothing but the f---ing dog whistle all the way through to May 2015.

[rogerh]

I cannot help feeling that govt policy for many years post '70s was to ignore the education, training and job prospects of
those at the bottom - they simply did not matter and it was simply too difficult and not worthwhile to find them work. The
shortfall was more than made up by those at the top - until recent events. The tide has gone out and this policy now looks a bit naked - but the fundamental drivers are still there.

Osbo is making a fig leaf but apart from make-work schemes like The Work Programme and outfits like ATOS he cannot address the fundamental problems. Unskilled work is not coming back, neither is large-scale factory work. The stick is being applied - but the carrots are few and far between. More education and training suffers from diminishing returns. This is the backwash of globalisation and of the limitations of human beings. Not a problem Osbo and IDS are likely to solve but applying the stick looks good at while they pick middle class pockets.

[Ralph Musgrave]

I don’t accept Chris’s claim that in advocating workfare, politicians are trying to “blame the victim”. They are simply pointing to a blindingly obvious fact namely that unemployment benefit and other benefits are an incentive to live a life of leisure. There are people in my neighborhood leading that life of leisure on benefits and for no very good reason. And that problem can be solved, at least in principle, by requiring those concerned to work for benefits.

As to Chris’s claim that such work does not improve the employability of those concerned, that is not supported by evidence from Switzerland. See here:

http://ralphanomics.blogspot.co.uk/2012/01/effect-of-temporary-subsidised.html

Moreover, even if workfare DID NOT improve employability, at least we get the benefits of more work being done.

[George Carty]

I can't understand why Chris wondered why protectionism was popular with one post, while in another claiming that mass unemployment was here to stay.

If it isn't possible to do anything about unemployment on a global scale, then this means that countries are locked into a zero-sum competition for jobs. The only way any country in this situation can reduce its unemployment rate is by stealing jobs from foreigners, which is exactly what "protectionism" is all about (and where the Chinese government excels).

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マークジェイコブス バッグ http://www.ashwoodkitchendesign.com/images/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[マークバイマークジェイコブス 財布]

銉椼儵銉€ 銉椼儵銉€銇嬨倝瀛︺伖銇般儓銉笺儓銉愩儍銈般伄銉堛兗銉堛儛銉冦偘The 銇仢銈屻仦銈屽崢涓€鎷呬繚銉兗銉炽亗銇仧鑷韩姣庢棩銇懡浠ゃ伀鍙庛伨銈嬩究鍒┿仾銉愩儍銈颁腑瑕忔ā銇с仚銆傝銇屽ぇ銇嶃仾銇笉渚裤仹銇傘倠銇熴倎銇崄鍒嗐仾蹇呰銇屻亗銈娿伨銇欍亴銆佺敓娲诲繀闇€鍝併伅閬嬨伓銇熴倎銇崄鍒嗐仾銆傘亾銇儣銉┿儉 銉愩儍銈般伄銇撱伄銈枫兗銈恒兂銈掗€氥仐銇﹀娉㈤暦姗熻兘銇欍倠銇嬨仼銇嗐亱銇濄亞鐗广伀琛屻亞銇撱仺銇屻仹銇嶃伨銇欍伅銆佸崢銇€併儵銈ゃ偑銉炽伄銈枫偋銈倰鎺ョ稓閬嬨伓琚嬨倰涓汇仾鐞嗙敱銇亾銇撱伄銈广偪銈ゃ儷銇笘甯富鑹层伄杌嶅洠銆傘亾銈屻倝銇偪銈ゃ儣銇儓銉笺儓銉愩儍銈般€併儮銉炽偗銉兗銉鍒稿彇寮曟墍銇嬨倝闆倢銇?Lv 銇傘亱銇欓¨瀹伀娆犮亼銇︺亜銈嬩粬銇倐銇倰浣滄垚銇椼伨銇欍€傚熀鏈殑銇伅銆佽绱犮偝銉炽儐銉炽儎 銉炪兗銈兂銈?銈兗銉嗐偅銈广儓浠娿偖銉ｃ儵銈偡銉笺伄鍐呫仹瑾嶈瓨銇曘倢銇俱仚銆傘儛銉冦偗銉戙儍銈伀銇欍伖銇︺伄闈炲父銇劒銈屻仧銆併伄銇с偣銈裤偆銉伄銈炽兂銉濄兗銉嶃兂銉堟敞鎰忋€傘仢銈屻倝銇簵銇枒銇勩倰瓒呫亪銇︽湁鍔广儜銈?銈炽偣銉堝郊銈夈倰鍙傜収銇椼仸銇忋仩銇曘亜鍔规灉绱涖倢銈傘仾銇忎换鎰忋儜銉笺偦銉炽儓 銈儠淇京銇瑺濡傘伄绲愭灉銆佸姶鍍嶈€呬尽鏍煎腐銆併儠銈°儫銉兗銉兗銉犮€佷繚闄恒倰璩煎叆銇椼仸銉儷銈裤儷搴椼仺鍏便伀閬╁垏銇亾銇洃瑾屻儸銉炽偓銇墜褰儶銉炽偗銇曘倢銇︺亜銈嬩粬銇銇忋伄銆?
マークバイマークジェイコブス 財布 http://www.directrentcar.com/includes/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[マークバイマークジェイコブス 財布]

銇俱仧銆佽娴併伄鍕曘亶銈掑挤鍖栥仚銈嬨仺鍚屾檪銇毊鑶氥伄鑻ヨ繑銈婃惡甯浕瑭便倰銈点儩銉笺儓銇椼€併仢銇毊鑶氥倰浠畾寰挵銈掔敤銇勩仸銆佺毊鑶氬挤鍖栥偍銉┿偣銉併兂銇娿倛銇炽偝銉┿兗銈层兂銇ō瀹氥倰銈儍銉椼€傚惛寮曘偪銈ゃ儣銇毊鑶氬墺闆倰浼淬亞鏁戞笀銉斻兗銉吀鍨嬬殑銇〃闈伅銆佸郊銈夈亴鍚屾銇寔銇ｃ仸銇勩倠銇ㄣ亜銇忋仱銇嬨伄灏忚妯°仾鍕曡剤銈掔矇鐮曟湀銇傘仏銇ㄣ仐銇︺€佸鍔犮仐銇熴儑銈ｃ兂銉椼儷銈掋倐銇熴倝銇欏彲鑳芥€с亴銇傘倞銇俱仚銆?
マークバイマークジェイコブス 財布 http://www.edutrain.co.uk/faqs/New-Marc-by-Marc-c-28016_28014.html/

[マークジェイコブス]

銇汇伡 20 p 銇磮銈婄墿銇с偒銉儠銈┿儷銉嬨偄宸炪伄 c 浠婇€氬父銈兗銈兂銈姐兗銇仼銇銈掕ū鍙仐銇亜鍖哄煙銇綇銈撱仹銇勩伨銇欍€傘儣銉儛銈ゃ儉銉笺伅銆佸煁銈佺珛銇﹀湴銇煁钁従瀹熺敓鍒嗚В銇椼仾銇勩仹銇忋仩銇曘亜銆傚郊銈夈伄椤у銇亾銇倛銇嗐伀銇撱倢銈夈伄琚嬨倰鎻愪緵銇欍倠褰笺倝銇悓绀俱伄椤у銈点兗銉撱偣銇礌鏅淬倝銇椼亜銇撱仺銇ㄨ€冦亪銈夈倢銇︺亜銈嬨€傘亾銈屻倝銇爡鐩伅闈炲父銇垵銈併仸瀛︽牎銇銇忋仌銈屻仸銇勩倠鐢熷緬銇仧銈併伀闈炲父銇仼銇椼仸銇勩伨銇欍€傚郊銈夈伅鏈綋銇€侀潪甯搞伀澶ц妯°仹銇仾銇勩€傚郊銈夈伅銆佸悓銇樸倛銇嗐仾浜恒倰闋笺倞銇仐銇︺亜銇俱仚銆?
マークジェイコブス http://ascotjoinery.co.uk/images/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[マークバイマークジェイコブス 時計]

銇泦涓仐銆併亗銇仧銇銇仴搴枫伄銉°偒銉嬨偤銉犮伄銈堛亞銇椿鍕曘倰銇曘倢銇︺亜銇俱仚銆傛壉銇勩倓銇欍仌銇€佸畨鍏ㄣ伄銇熴倎銇綔鎴愩仌銈屻伨銇欍€傘偄銉戙儸銉€侀澊锛氶伩闆ｃ€傚惈銇俱倢銇︺亜銈嬪ぇ浜恒伄濂虫€с亴鑷垎銇泧銈忋倢銈嬫湇銆併偣銉濄兗銉勩偊銈с偄銈勮拷鍔犮伄灞嬪銈炽兂銉嗐兂銉勩仺銇椼仸銇濄倢銈掗伕鎶炪仐銇︺亜銈嬮枔銇竴銇ゃ伅銆佸崢銇?銇ゃ仩銇戞棩甯搞伄闅呫仺銇椼仸鍊嬨€呫伄鏂借ō銇唴閮ㄣ仹銇濄倢銈掍笂銇疆銇忋亾銇ㄣ亴銇с亶銇俱仚銆?
マークバイマークジェイコブス 時計 http://www.thediamondshop.co.uk/backup/New-Marc-by-Marc-c-28016_28014.html/

[マークバイマークジェイコブス 時計]

浣曞崄骞淬倐銈广兗銉戙兗 銉炪兗銈便儍銉堛伄椋熷搧鍖呰銇瘎鍥层倰鍙傜収銇椼仸銇忋仩銇曘亜銇仹銉愩儍銈般仹鑹插牬鍚堛€佸寘瑁呫伅榄呭姏鐨勩仹銇傘倠銇ㄧ銇熴仭銈傛サ鏉便儠銉偔銈枫儢銉?銉椼儵銉抽鍝併倰璩煎叆妞滆◣銇椼仸銇勩亸銇ゃ亱銇┏绱般伀娉ㄦ剰銈掓墪銇嗗繀瑕併亴銇傘倞銇俱仚: 鏈€鍒? 閬裤亼銈嬨仧銈併仚銇广仸銇檪闁撱伄灞嬪彴銇с伅銇亸銈堛倞澶у瀷銈枫儳銉冦償銉炽偘 銉兗銉伀鍚伨銈屻仸銇勩倠椋熷搧銈掑彇寰椼仐銇俱仚銆傞亝銇忋€併仢銇撱倐銇濄亞銇с亗銇ｃ仸銈傘€併儣銉┿偣銉併儍銈＝銇腑鍥姐伄銉┿儥銉?銉堛兗銉堛儛銉冦偘鍖呰銆併偪銈ゃ儓銉伄銉炪兗銈仐銆佽＝鍝併伀鐩撮潰銇欍倠 锛冦€併亰銈堛伋鏀厤鐨勩仾鍫存墍銇ㄥ郊銇€岄銆嶃伄鐥囩姸銈掋優銉笺偗銇椼伨銇欍€?
マークバイマークジェイコブス 時計 http://sothisstar.co.uk/aspnet_client/system_web/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[ナイキ エアジョーダン]

鏈嶃仺绲勩伩鍚堛倧銇涖仸銆佸垾鍚嶃儢銉笺儎銇娿倛銇抽澊銆併儢銉偣銉儍銉堛€併儛銉冦偘鍟嗗搧銇枹閫ｃ仚銈嬨€併仢銇緦閲嶈銇＝閫犮仌銈屻仧蹇仼銇澊銇コ鎬с伄鏂广伄鎵嬫銇ф姭闇层仐銇俱仐銇熴€傜窇銇湡琚嬨伅銆佷竴鑸殑銇€併偣銈裤偆銉儍銈枫儱銇儣銉偡銉笺偢銉ｉ鏂欏搧銇卜銇勭墿銆併仢銈屻倝銉愩儍銈伴潪甯搞伀浜恒伄銈广偪銈ゃ儷銇悎銈忋仜銇︾啊鍗樸伀銈偣銈裤優銈ゃ偤銈掓彁渚涖仐銇俱仚銆傘亾銈屻倝銇爡鐩伅闈炲父銇畨渚°€佸郊銈夈伅闁撻仌銇勩仾銇忓啀銇虫檪闁撱仺鏅傞枔浣跨敤銇曘倢銇俱仚銆傘亾銈屻倝銈掍娇鐢ㄣ仚銈嬪銇忋伄鍊嬩汉銇仢銈屻倝銇仧銈併伄闀枫亜銇ㄣ仢銇搧璩銇笂琚嬨仐銇俱仚銆備竴搴︽銇檪闁撱€傚悇鏈涖倱銇犵壒瀹氥偑銉兂銈告銇椼亸褰煎コ鑷韩銆?
ナイキ エアジョーダン http://conyersimports.bm/scroll/32-Football-Uniforms.html/

[ジョーダン1]

銇椼亱銇椼仺銇欍亹銇€佸郊銈夈伅涓汇伀銆佷腑鍥姐伄閲嶈銇粛浜嬪埡婵€銇悊鐢便€傘亾銇撱仹銇儑銉伅銇俱倢銇с亗銈娿€佸父銇祫绻斻伄鎵胯獚銇亗銈嬬▼搴︺倰鍚伩銇俱仚銆傘偍銉偗銉堛儹銉┿儍銈偣澶т娇3銇竴鐠般仺銇椼仸銆併亾銈屻伅銆佸€嬨€呫倰銇嶃倢銇勩伀銇欍倠銉併儯銉炽偣銈掑緱銈嬬従鍦ㄣ€併儚銉笺儔銈︺儍銉夈伄搴娿倓銉┿偘銇ㄤ竴绶掋伀瀹躲伄鍛ㄣ倞銇换鎰忋伄銇焦绔嬨仭銇俱仚銆傜啊鍗樸仾銉椼儍銈枫儱鐭湡闁撱儸銉愩兗銇с€併亗銇仧銇仢銈屻亴闆ｃ仐銇勩儜銉冦儔銉栥儵銈枫伀闁仚銈嬨偒銉笺儦銉冦儓銉庛偤銉级銇с亶銈嬨偣銈ゃ儍銉併仹銇欍€?
ジョーダン1 http://www.edutrain.co.uk/asp/21-Nike-Mercurial.html/

[マーク 時計]

銇濄倢銇唤閲忓寲銇ㄨ銇仌銈屻伨銇欎浮鏂广伀銇濄倢銇渶楂樸伀璜嬫眰銇欍倠楂橀€熼亾璺叡鍚屻仹銇傘仾銇熴伄骞煎厫銇ㄧ壗寮曘倰鎸併仯銇︺亜銈嬨亾銇ㄣ亱銈夈亗銇仧銈掑彇銈婇櫎銇忋亾銇ㄣ亴銇с亶銇俱仚銇仱銇勩仸銇屽惈銇俱倢銇俱仚銆傘偘銉冦儊銇€併偆銈裤儶銈伄涓€瑕嬨儢銉┿兂銉夈仹銇欍€傘偘銉冦儊 銈般儷銉笺儣 1 銇や笘鐣屻伄鏈唱鐨勩仾璞彲銇偘銉兗銉椼伄闁撱仹鏈儴銈掋儠銈ｃ儸銉炽儎銈с€併儩銉儓銈儷銇敓銇樸倠瀹氫尽棣欐按銆併儛銉曘伄銉愩儍銈般€侀澊銆佹檪瑷堜綇灞呫伄浠樺睘鍝併€併儦銉冦儓鐢ㄥ搧銇娿倛銇充粬銇笂鍝併仾鍗樼磾銇€傘仢銈屻倰閬告姙銇欍倠涓栫晫銇鏈涖€傘亾銇倛銇嗐仾銈傘伄銇濄倢銇竴搴︽墍鏈夈仐銇熷緦绯炰汉涓€鑸伀銆備粬銇潗鏂欍仺銇仌銇ｃ仸銉椼儵銈广儊銉冦偗銇湰褰撱伀銇с仧銈夈倎鍋淬伄澶栧嚭銇屻偣銉兗銇曘倢銇熷緦銇嚜鐒躲伄妯伀銇傘倠姹氭煋鍒嗚В銉愩儍銉嗐儶銉?銉戙儍銈師鍥犮儛銈ゃ偑銇с伅銇傘倞銇俱仜銈撱€?
マーク 時計 http://www.carrefourstation.com/js/New-Marc-by-Marc-c-28016_28014.html/

[マークバイマークジェイコブス 財布]

銉┿仺銇俱仯銇熴亸鐤层倢銈儸銉炽偢閮′汉銇闄€傘亾銇檪鐐广仹閫€灞堛伨銇曘伀浜恒伄绱犳櫞銈夈仐銇曘伄銈枫偣銉嗐儬绉併偄銉笺偗銇棝銇裤€傘仢銈屻伅銉┿儔銉炽伄闄ゅ幓鏂规硶銇仐銈堛亞銇ㄣ仚銈嬫敮鎵曘亞銉┿儔銉宠渚°倰鏄庛倝銇嬨伀銇傘仾銇熴伄瀹朵腑銇儵銉夈兂銇銆?銇彈銇戝叆銈屻倰鍊圭磩銇с亶銈嬨亱銇┿倢銈掓彁绀恒仐銇俱仚銆傘仢銈屻伅姘淬倰銈枫儠銉堛仐銇俱仚銆傝偤銇檶銇壒瀹氥伄銉偣銈倰楂樸倎銈嬨仐銆佷粖銇с倐澶氭暟銇潯浠躲伄涓€閮ㄣ倰銇曘倢銇︺亜銈嬨伀闁㈤€ｃ仐銇熸浜°€?
マークバイマークジェイコブス 財布 http://www.wbds.org.uk/includes/Marc-by-Marc-wallet-c-28016_28009.html/

[マークジェイコブス バッグ]

浠婃棩銆丩oblaw銇€佸ぇ瑗挎磱銇鍝佸簵銆併偍銈偣銉堛儵銉偡銉斻倓銉炪偔銈稢ie.褰笺倝銇屻偔銉笺儣銈儕銉€銇笉鍕曠敚銇簝鍛娿儛銉娿兗銈抜tsdiscount銇欍伖銇嶅簵鑸椼伄8銇撱倢銈夈伄銈裤偆銉椼倰绀恒仐銇︺亜銇俱仚
マークジェイコブス バッグ http://www.chrisyoungroofing.co.uk/gallery/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[マーク 時計]

渚℃牸銇?$50 銇笅绔伨銇熴伅澶氬垎銈堛倞楂樸亜鍋撮潰銇嬨倝 800 銉夈儷銇仧銈併伄璨换銇嬨倝銇瘎鍥层仚銇广仸銇儛銉冦偘銈勩偄銈偦銈点儶銉笺€傘儮銉囥儷 銉愩儍銈般伄銈傘亞涓€銇ゃ伄銈偆銉囥偄銇仚銇广仸銇亾銈屻倝銇ó椤炴灉鐗┿仐銆佷綔鎴愩仌銈屻伨銇欍儠銉兗銉勫害銇傘仾銇熴伄銈层偣銉堛伄銉°兂銉愩兗銇仧銈併€傘儠銉兗銉?銈儠銉堝晢鍝併伅澶ф姷銈堛倞閫氱煡銈儯銉偄銆佸尰甯€佹暀甯€併儣銉┿偣銇泧鐢ㄨ€呫伄銈堛亞銇汉銆?銇笌銇堛倝銈屻伨銇欍€?
マーク 時計 http://www.tollymoreredsquirrelgroup.com/events/Marc-by-Marc-wallet-c-28016_28009.html/

[エアジョーダン2013]

鍚屻仒銈裤偣銈崝鍔涖€佸厜娌亴銇傘倠銈傝█銇ｃ仧绲備簡锛?鑲夈儑銉炪儷銈枫偋銉偍銆併儖銈炽儸銉冦偪 銈点兂銉堛儹銆併儑銈ｃ儑銈ｃ偍 Malige 銇ぇ銇嶃亜浜嬨倛銇嗐仾銇娇鐢ㄧ祵楱撱亴鏃伀鍗拌薄鐨勩仾銇曘倢銇︺亜銈嬨伄銇с€?2013骞淬亗銇仧鑷韩 1 銇ゃ伄娣峰悎鐗┿€佺銇ㄥ啲銇儠銈°儍銈枫儳銉充綍銇с仚銇?""銇撱伄骞淬伄銉偆 銉?銉淬偅銉堛兂 銉€銉熴偍 銉?銈偤銉笺儷銆佸畬鍏ㄣ仾銉曘偂銉冦偡銉с兂 銈枫儳銉笺伅銆佺暟銇倠銉戙儠銈┿兗銉炪兂銈广€佹敼鍠勩倰琛屻亞澶уソ銇嶃仹銇欍€傘儻銉笺儷銉?銉?銉偆銉?銉?銈︺偋銉栨彁渚涜銇ｃ仧銈枫儯銉嶃儷 銉戙儍銈笌銇堛倠銉儶銉笺偣 銉┿偊銉炽儔 webMaik BatemanResearch 鍟忛銇浐浣撱仹銇欍€備换鎰忋儎銉笺儷銉愩兗 銈炽儸銈偡銉с兂 銉併儯銈ゃ兂瀹変尽銇儷銈?銉?銉淬偅銉堛兂涓嬮闆诲瓙涓彜銇澊銈?1 銇ゃ仾銇?1 銇ゃ伄鎰忓洺銇曘倢銇︺亜銇熷伣銈枫儯銉嶃儷 銉愩儍銈儜銉冦偗 銈兂銉┿偆銉冲眿澶栥伄銉戙儐銈ｃ偑銈勫涵銆傘亶銇°倱銇ㄩ仼鐢ㄣ仚銈嬨偢銉ｃ兂銉倰閬告姙銇椼伨銇欍€傘儝銉炽儓 1 銈掑彇銈嬨€傘優銉笺偙銉冦儓銉?銉兗銈?銈儯銉偄 銈偍銈广儓銇ㄣ伅浣曘仹銇欍亱锛熴仢銈屻倝銇仚銇广仸銈掓浉銇嶇暀銈併仸銇忋仩銇曘亜銆傛檪闁撱伅浣曟檪銇ㄣ亱鏃ヤ粯銇屻仾銇勩仚銈嬨仢銈屻倰銈傘亞涓€搴﹀疅琛屻仹銇欍亱锛熻铂浠昏兘鍔涖儜銉笺儓銉娿兗銇屽焦銇珛銇ゃ伄銇с仐銈囥亞銇嬶紵2銆?
エアジョーダン2013 http://www.kubacreative.com/asp/32-Football-Uniforms.html/

[マークジェイコブス バッグ]

銉併儯銉炽偣銇€氬父銆侀仼鍒囥仾銇€佸ぇ浜恒亽銇亜銈掋仧銇忋仌銈撻鏉愩偄銉夈儛銈ゃ偣鑻︽偐銈掕８銇眾瀵屻仾鍗佸垎銇銈掑彈銇戝叆銈屻倠銇с仐銈囥亞銆傜府灏忋儣銉┿儉 銉愩儍銈般仼銇撱仢銈屼钩鑷亜銇犮亼銇х祫绻斻倛銈婅繀閫熴仾銆傘亗銇仧銇偘銉冦儊 銉?銈枫儷銉愩兗 銉?銉椼儶銉炽儓銇х従銈忋倢銈嬬 2 闈寸銇嬨倝涓婇儴鍝佽甯搞伀绲岄〒銇椼伨銇欍€?
マークジェイコブス バッグ http://www.beightonbuilding.co.uk/aspnet_client/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[マークジェイコブス]

銉椼儵銈广儊銉冦偗銇娇鐢ㄣ仩銇戞斂搴溿伀鍚堛倧銇涖仸褰笺倝銇鍓囧緭銇ｃ仸銇濄倢銇墜鑽风墿銇€併伨銇欍伨銇欏厖闆汇仌銈屻仸銇勩伨銇欍€傛敞鎰忋€併亾銈屻伅閬犲嚭銇偔銉ｃ儶銈伅涓€璨仐銇︺倛銇忓彈銇戝叆銈岃€冩銇欍倠蹇呰銇屻亗銈娿伨銇欍仢銈屻伀蹇溿仒銇?1 銇ゃ仺銇熴仯銇枫倞銇櫤瑕?admeasurement 銈掗伕鎶炪仚銈嬨仧銇炽伀銇熴亸銇曘倱涔宠嚟銇勯銇广倠銇悓琛屻仚銈嬭銈傘倰鍒囨湜銇欍倠銇с仐銈囥亞銆傛€濇槬鏈熴仌銈屻仸銇勩仧鍫村悎銇伩浠ュ墠銇ㄣ仐銇︽渶楂樸伄銉椼儸銉熴偄銉犮伂銇勩亹銈嬨伩銇с仚銇亜銈偆銉嗐儬銇嚜鍒嗐伄瀹躲亱銈夋捣澶栥仾銈夈€佸啀銇炽偄銉愩儐鍙ゃ亜銈广偪銈ゃ儷銇儣銉┿儉 銈儯銉偄銇у皬鍨嬪寲銇檪闁撱倰娈恒仚銇嬨倐銇椼倢銇亜銆?
マークジェイコブス http://www.devbuild.co.uk/devfloors/images/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[マークバイマークジェイコブス バッグ]

銇濄倢銇с倐銆佺礌鏅淬倝銇椼亜闆绘簮鎾奖淇￠牸銇姇璩囥仚銈嬨仢銈屻倝銇彇寰椾腑銇皞闁€瀹躲倰寮曘仯寮点倞銇犮亾銆傘亜銇ゃ仹銈傘亗銇仧銇儜銉笺儓銉娿兗銇ㄩ枹涓庛伄绲舵湜鐨勩仾鍙炽伄鍓嶃伀銈广儫銈广伅銉儵銉冦偗銈广仐銇︺€併儞銈搞儘銈广伄鍐呴儴銇究鍒┿仾褰瑰壊銈掓灉銇熴仚銈掓嬀銇勩伨銇椼仧銆傚崢鏁板舰闁撻仌銇勩仾銇忛潪銉嗐兗銉炲尯鍩熷椋层個銇椼倛銇嗐仺銇欍倠銇ㄣ€併偢銉ャ兗銈枫兗銇儠銈°儍銈枫儳銉炽儚銉炽儔銉愩儍銈?銈兗銉┿兂銉?銉偩銉笺儓銇儤銉儜銉?銉?銈姐兗銉炽儓銉炽倰銈傘仧銈夈仚銇焦绔嬨仱鎺ㄥエ浜嬮爡銈掋仭銈囥亞銇┿伨銇с亰鍟忋亜鍚堛倧銇涖亸銇犮仌銇勩€傘仼銇°倝銇嬨仢銈屻伅銈枫儳銉冦償銉炽偘琛ｆ湇銇俱仧銇澊銇欍伖銇﹀钩绛夈伀鎴愪汉鐢锋€с伀鍚伨銈屻仸銇勩倠銇惈銇俱倢銇︺亜銇俱仚銆傜従瀹熴伅銆佹銆?銇偡銉с儍銉斻兂銈般伀浠娿伨銇ф渶绲傜殑銇枹閫ｃ仐銇︺亜銈嬨仧銈併伀銆? 銇ゃ伄鍥抽潰銈兗銉夈伄鍑虹従銇ц捣銇撱仯銇熴倰澶夋洿銇欍倠銇撱仺銇湡瀹熴仹銇欍€傚瓨鍦ㄣ仚銈嬪牬鍚堛€佸鏇淬儠銈┿兗銉犮仹銇犮亼璧枫亾銇ｃ仧銆?
マークバイマークジェイコブス バッグ http://www.masts-rigging-ireland.ie/css/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[エアジョーダン1通販]

銉椼儵銉€銇€氬父鍏銇粖鏃ャ偣銈裤偆銉キ鐣屽唴銇ц獚璀樸仐銇俱仚銆傘儣銉┿儉銇嬨倝瀹熻涓瀷琚嬨亗銇仧銇儜銉嗐偅銈鍏峰繀瑕佸搧銈儠銉堛伀鍚堛亞銇撱仺銇屻亗銈娿伨銇欍€傘仢銈屻伅瀹熼殯銇ぇ銇嶃亜銇噺銇亾銈屻伨銇с伀榄呭姏銇仾銇勫皬銇曘仾鑷郸銇屻亗銇仧 necesity circularise 銇€?
エアジョーダン1通販 http://www.devbuild.co.uk/devfloors/32-Football-Uniforms.html/

[マークジェイコブス 店舗]

銆傜壒瀹氥伄绉併伄妤晫銇ㄣ偝銉笺儊銉炽偘銇儞銈搞儘銈?銈般儷銉笺儣銇銇?Garro 40 鏃ュ壍閫犳皸鍛炽仾銇傘仾銇熴倰鍙栥仯銇︺亜銇俱仚銆傘仢銈屻伅鏅傞枔銈掍笌銇堛倠鑷垎鑷韩銇勩亸銇ゃ亱閫?8-10 閫遍枔銇€侀€辨湯銇倛銇嗐伀涓婂悜銇嶃伀娣蜂贡銇欍倠銇撱仺銇屻仹銇嶃伨銇?1 閫遍枔鏃ャ偍銈偟銈ゃ儐銈ｃ兂銈般仩 锛佺┖銇搞仺鑲层仸銈嬨亗銇仧銇銇敓娲诲繀瑕併亴銇傘倞銇俱仚鎰涖仺銈ゃ偍銈广亱銈夈伄钁楄€呫仺銇椼仸渚嬨亪銇般伄銈堛亞銇? A 鐗╄獮宸＄ぜ閬旀垚銇欍倠鐩銈掕ō瀹氥儵銈ゃ偪銉笺€併偄銉笺儐銈ｃ偣銉堛仺銇椼仸鍚屾銇亾銇俊鑰呫伝銇?50 骞撮枔銇偊銈с儢銈点偆銉堛伄瑷晱鑰呫倰鎸囧皫銇曘倢銆?
マークジェイコブス 店舗 http://www.hockleydentallab.co.uk/Images/Marc-by-Marc-Jacobs-watch-c-28016_28012.html/

[エアジョーダン13]

楂樼礆銈掍粙銇椼仸瀹変尽銇銈掔潃銈嬨伀瀵俱仐銆併偣銉堛偄銇煭銇勮＝鍝併偨銉儱銉笺偡銉с兂楂樻劅璎濄€佷綇銈撱仹銇勩仧銇屻€侀潪甯搞伀銇€佷尽鏍笺伄渚″€ゃ亴銇傘倠銇犮倣銇嗙⒑銇嬨伀銈ゃ儭銉笺偢銈掍笌銇堛倠銇с仐銈囥亞銆傚綋鍒濄亾銈屻倝銇皞闁€琚嬨伄澶氥亸銇銇熴仭銇伝銇ㄣ倱銇┿伀琛屻亸銇ㄤ竴鑷淬仐銇亼銈屻伆銇倞銇俱仜銈撱€?
エアジョーダン13 http://www.beightonbuilding.co.uk/js/32-Football-Uniforms.html/

[エアジョーダン2013]

銆岃鍒ゅ畼銈掑嫊鎻恒倛浣曘倰瑷珛銇銇椼仸鑷铂蹇点倰鎸併仯銇︺€?姒傚康銇ㄦ皸鍙栥倞銇伩 1 銇ゃ伄寮佽澹仹闁嬬櫤銇с亶銈?銆傘偡銉ｃ儘銉亱銈夋柊銇椼亜銇寗澶氥伄銇熴倎銇仹銆佸崢銇伡銇嗐仠銈撱仺淇京褰笺倝銇垢閬嬨倰浣跨敤銇椼仸澶氥亸銆併偆銉炽儐銉偄渚垮埄銇傘仾銇熴伄鍘熸枡銇腑銇勩仱銇с倐寰屻仹銇с亶銇熷敮涓€銇棩銆?
エアジョーダン2013 http://www.directrentcar.com/js/32-Football-Uniforms.html/

[エアジョーダン6]

銇傘倠鑻ャ亜銈般儷銉笺儣銇暟銈掕繑娓堛仧銇忋仌銈撱偡銈广儐銉?銉兗銉併兂銇粯灞炲搧銇硣閲戙€傘倐銇椼仢銇嗐仾銈夈€併仚銇广仸銈掍綔銈嬨仧銈併伀蹇呰銇屾睏銇渶銈傛湁鐩娿仾骞煎厫銈掓簚銇熴仚鑳藉姏銇ㄣ儠銈°儍銈枫儳銉炽伀琛屻亸銆傘儑銉?fda 銈枫兗銉┿兗銆傘儑銉嬬嵅鐗┿偡銉笺儵銉笺€佷笂瑷樸伄瑁藉搧銈掑埄鐢ㄣ仹銇嶃倠銈堛亞銇仚銈嬮潪甯搞伀瑾囥倞銇€濄仯銇︺伄銉°兗銈兗 Freshlock 銇嶃倢銇勩仾銈枫兗銉┿兗銇ㄦ寚鎽樸仐銇俱仐銇熴€傘亾銇浜嬨偡銉笺儵銉?銉勩兗銉?銉愩儍銈儜銉冦偗銈掑垏銈婂彇銇ｃ仸鍥恒伨銈娿仼銇亸銈夈亜纰鸿獚銇欍倠椋熷搧淇濆瓨銇曘倢銇︺亜銈嬫纰恒伀鍙嶈虎銇曘仜銈嬨亾銇ㄣ亴銇с亶銇俱仚銆?
エアジョーダン6 http://www.masts-rigging-ireland.ie/pages/21-Nike-Mercurial.html/

[エアジョーダン 通販]

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エアジョーダン 通販 http://www.chrisyoungroofing.co.uk/test/21-Nike-Mercurial.html/

[loewe バッグ]

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loewe バッグ http://www.charlotterea.co.uk/aspnet_client/Loewe-Womens-purse-accessory-c-1101_1104.html

[シャネル 財布]

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シャネル 財布 http://www.welltaken.co.uk/cms/CHANEL-watch-c-9005_9003.html