In bemoaning the coalition's lack of evidence-based policy, Simon Wren-Lewis inadvertently draws our attention to a difference between centrists and Marxists.
We Marxists are not surprised that policy-making should be uninformed by reason, simply because the function of the state is not so much to act as a Platonic philosopher-king disinterestedly aiming to maximize a social welfare function, but rather to advance the interests of capital.
Seen from this perspective, some of the failings Simon describes become more understandable. For example, the renunciation of Keynesianism is intended to ensure that capitalists retain power over the economy by ensuring that employment depends upon their "confidence" rather than upon the state. As Kalecki said, "The social function of the doctrine of 'sound finance' is to make the level of employment dependent on the state of confidence." And welfare cuts, plus the unemployment created by austerity, are intended to boost the supply of cheap labour, thus holding wage costs down.
This, though, poses the question: is the coalition really acting as the intelligent steward of capitalist interests? There are some reasons to suspect not:
- If we're in a "wage-led" regime, then the adverse effect upon consumer spending of low wages offsets the positive effect upon capital spending of decent profit margins. If so, then - depending upon the relative size of these effects - the coalition might be depressing profit rates. This is because its possible that a low output-capital ratio (relative to some counterfactual) is offsetting the high profit share.
- Whilst anti-immigration policy is popular - and thus helps to legitimate the capitalist state - it acts against capitalists' interests by restricting labour supply.
- Growing inequality (in the sense of the share of income going to the very wealthy) might eventually trigger a backlash which jeopardizes the interests of the rich. There's little sign of this yet, but history suggests things can change quickly.
- Many of the wealthy are losing directly from the coalition's policies. "Fiscal conservatism and monetary activism" has caused years of negative real interest rates, to the pain of many richer savers.
In these senses, it could be that this government is - in effect - unThatcherite, insofar as it is not promoting the interests of the rich as well as she did.
Herein, though, lies a rather embarrassing question for us Marxists. If we concede that this is the case, what does it tell us? Does it tell us the coalition is so stupid that it's not acting even in capitalists' interests, let alone the public's? Or does it instead tell us that the (cruder) Marxian conceptions of the state are mistaken, and that the state doesn't always promote capitalists' interests? I walk away muttering about the relative autonomy of the state.
It's almost as if capitalism is riddled with contradictions... someone should write a book on it.
Posted by: Path_dependent | October 21, 2013 at 01:53 PM
It probably shows us that government isn't clever/agile enough to promote a single, cogent set of interests. It's a complicated beast.
Posted by: Leonpaternoster | October 21, 2013 at 02:04 PM
You are confusing the state with the government. The state acts to defend the interests (as it sees them at the time) of the dominant section of capital. The Government, whilst ultimately it has to take into consideration the interests of Capital in General - or else in the extreme it faces the same fate as Allende - has to cater for that section of society upon which its core membership is based, and its electoral support comes from.
The current Government, like Thatcher's, is based on the small capitalists and associated layers. That is why it follows a policy needed by that class fraction, i.e. low wages/high debt to the detriment of Capital in General. It is why that policy has been criticised by the state officials both at national and international level.
But, what the view of the state officials is of what is in the interests of Capital in General itself depends on which section of capital is predominant at the time. In the post-war period, big, multinational industrial capital was predominant, which is why Keynesianism was adopted in its interests at a national and international level, establishment of IMF etc.
But, a Marxist view cannot be mechanistic. We have to allow for the human beings that actually make up the permanent state to also be wrong, to suffer false consciousness. For ten years after it was clear Keynesianism could not resolve the problems of capital in the 1970's, it was still promoted by them.
Its no surprise that given that Monetarist policies have been orthodoxy for the last 30 years, that even when they are clearly failing and counter-productive, a generation of mandarins brought up on that orthodoxy takes time to change its stance too.
Posted by: Boffy | October 21, 2013 at 02:42 PM
What anti-immigration policy?
Posted by: pablopatito | October 21, 2013 at 03:34 PM
I'm surprised to hear that you consider yourself a Marxist. Your analysis is straightforward liberal Keynesianism.
Posted by: JW Mason | October 21, 2013 at 03:35 PM
Too complicated an explanation.
It is a populist Govt seeking re-election by espousing policies that go down well at the Dog and Duck and appeal to commom sense ie general prejudice. Ther is no reason why such policies should form a coherent whole.
Posted by: 250242 | October 21, 2013 at 03:42 PM
Take a different view.
Governments tend to be conservative, defend a status quo, and hence protect property rights (ain't it all what governments are about at the start?). Budget cuts is a protection of wealth and revenues. Anti-inflationary policies are a protection of savings.
Left-wing governments tend to be equally conservative. They protect the privileges of civil servants, trade unions and retirees. Communist governments served the interest of the Nomenklatura.
So, it is true that in a capitalist society, government can be seen as protecting the inrerest of capital, but it is far-fetched to consider there is a direct will to do it. Besides, why would governments be more efficient at protecting the interest of capital than at doing all the other things they are supposed to do?
Posted by: Zorblog | October 21, 2013 at 04:03 PM
Rich savers can simply pile their wealth into property. They don't need to hold their wealth in interest bearing securities, so low interest rates shouldn't really bother them.
The government's policies to inflate the property market support wealthy savers in this respect.
Posted by: Anonymous | October 21, 2013 at 06:18 PM
"Or does it instead tell us that the (cruder) Marxian conceptions of the state are mistaken, and that the state doesn't always promote capitalists' interests? I walk away muttering about the relative autonomy of the state."
A fair point!
Indeed, the notion of individuals could play a useful role: it's individuals who hold key government positions.
I think many people, for whatever reason, believe that both the capitalist class and proletariat are monolithic, undifferentiated entities. And that no other classes can be found under capitalism.
They're mistaken, big time.
Posted by: Magpie | October 21, 2013 at 07:23 PM
Thanks for reminding us about Poulantzas and his theory of the capitalist state: but surely contradictions are at the heart of capitalism ( but probably not at the end of the day( Althusser. The anti-EU ideology preached by the Far Right, UKIP and the the very Tory Right is a case in point. It will scare the sh*t out of business here because we know leaving the EU will damage industrial & service sectors like finance. It is of course scary for us all as so much wage/social legislation would be at risk and we would leave our civilized friends of Europe as we sank into worse forms of Neo-Liberalism.
Posted by: Leslie48 | October 21, 2013 at 09:11 PM
As William Golding put it: "I have hung all systems on the wall like a row of useless hats. They do not fit. They come in from outside, they are suggested patterns, some dull and some of great beauty. But I have lived enough of my life to require a pattern that fits over everything I know; and where shall I find that ? Then why do I write this down ? Is it a pattern I am looking for? That Marxist hat in the middle of the row, did I ever think it would last me a lifetime ? What is wrong with the Christian biretta that I hardly wore at all ? Nick's rationalist hat kept the rain out, seemed impregnable plate-armour, dull and decent. It looks small now and rather silly, a bowler like all bowlers, very formal, very complete, very ignorant."
Posted by: Churm Rincewind | October 21, 2013 at 09:47 PM
«Whilst anti-immigration policy is popular»
Anti-immigration policy as someone said does not exist: it is only a few show pieces aimed at extra-europeans, whether from rich or poor countries, while there is strong pro-immigration policy from poor labor-reserve-army places within the EEC.
In any case immigration is only unpopular with the electorally irrelevant lower paid, casualised working classes.
The pro-immigration policy by both New labour and the Coalition is wildly popular with the middle aged and older, mostly female, mostly property owning Middle Classes that are the swing voters in the South-East.
For them more immigration means cheaper home care, cheaper gardeners and plumbers, higher rents and higher property prices.
«Growing inequality (in the sense of the share of income going to the very wealthy) might eventually trigger a backlash which jeopardizes the interests of the rich. There's little sign of this yet, but history suggests things can change quickly.»
Since 1989-1991 collapse of the symbol of the potential alternative the anglo-american elites are confident that they can go back to the 50s, I mean the 1750s.
Posted by: Blissex | October 21, 2013 at 09:47 PM
«the function of the state is not so much to act as a Platonic philosopher-king disinterestedly aiming to maximize a social welfare function, but rather to advance the interests of capital.»
«Poulantzas and his theory of the capitalist state: but surely contradictions are at the heart of capitalism»
I think that "capitalism" here is rather overused, especially it has transformed over the centuries in something quite different from what it meant in Karl's time. And dear old Karl wrote about the state being the tool of the elites of the era, not just capitalists, and government being the managing board of capitalism.
However as other commenters have noticed the "elites", whether capitalists or not, apart from contradictions can also have division in factions.
My impression of the politics of the past 30 years is similar to that of a previous commenter:
«The current Government, like Thatcher's, is based on the small capitalists and associated layers. That is why it follows a policy needed by that class fraction, i.e. low wages/high debt to the detriment of Capital in General.»
But more general: I think that in the past 30 years the dominant politics have been those of incumbency, and in particular of incumbency in property and other sources of rent (e.g. managerial control, professional license, career in the City, being a swing constituency).
Voters with incumbency in positions of rent have provided the brawn, the mass, to support electorally the governments of the past 30 years, and they have been pandered to enthusiastically by the political classes.
My impression is that however this enthusiasm has not been motivated mostly or solely by the desire to please that particularly constituency, except tactically,
My impression is that the brains of the politics of the past 30 years have been a quite different constituency, the asset strippers, and that the long term strategy has been asset stripping the first world.
There are several signs that the ruling elites of the Anglo-American culture countries started applying the BCG matrix to entire countries, and then classifying Anglo-American countries as "cash-cows" at best, and most usually as "dogs", to be asset stripped following Jensenist principles, to reinvest the proceeds in higher growth nations.
In other words doing to whole countries what Romney and those inspired by his success did to many otherwise viable (and some unviable) companies.
My impression of the strategic aims of the interests behind New Labour and the Coalition is for the UK to pump, pump up asset prices with credit, dump them at the highest price to suckers, and turn the South-East itself into a wasteland like the North, a mere reservoir of cheap, docile hired help begging for jobs in London, as now is the North wrt to the South-East; while continuing to sell London as a kind of bigger Monaco or Caymans or Zurich/Geneva, a freewheeling international casino, refuge for international looters and for hiding and laundering the proceeds of fraud and looting (someone has even written a book about this latter strategy).
With the Etonian ruling class continuing to live in a grand style by extracting rents from the patrons of the casino.
Posted by: Blissex | October 21, 2013 at 10:17 PM
I should say that this government is pro-capitalism and populist in as much as policies are generally in line with capitalism. The capitalists are not a homogenous and unified group. They are in a competitive fight to the death, in relation to accumulating profit, with other capitalists and their businesses. The Government and states will reflect this conflict in their policy decisions. Overall policies will benefit capitalism: even if they do cause short or medium term pain to some capitalists. What's seen as vital by the disparate and conflict riven capitalists is the continuance of capitalism.
Posted by: Warren | October 22, 2013 at 11:03 AM
Of course the people who MOST benefited from Thatcherism were not the rich, but those of the working class who bought their council houses. Left-wing = lie about Thatcher is it Chris?
Posted by: Jackart | October 22, 2013 at 12:44 PM
@jackart.
Within a couple of years of buying their Council houses, a large portion of those workers found themselves homeless, because they could not pay their monthly mortgage payments as mortgage rates soared to 15%, and unemployment rose. They formed a large portion of the tens of thousands of workers that were evicted as the banks and building societies repossesses properties that fell in price by 40% in a matter of months in 1990.
They then found that Councils couldn't re house them, because they had not built houses, and their stock had been sold off and was now in the hands of banks and private landlords, who picked them up on the cheap when their former tenants couldn't pay the mortgage.
We see a similar situation today with the huge property bubble about to burst, and with a shortage or Council housing for people to move into, and a squeeze being put on rents by the cuts in Housing Benefit.
Posted by: Boffy | October 22, 2013 at 01:57 PM
«that Councils couldn't re house them, because they had not built houses»
The law that obliged Councils to sell houses to a huge discount to potential tory voters also *explicitly* forbade the Councils to use the relatively little money so earned to build more Council houses.
Posted by: Blissex | October 22, 2013 at 02:32 PM
I can't accept Boffy's contention that the Condem's are acting in the interests of the small capitalists. The austerity policies are reducing wages, British wages are reducing faster than anywhere else in the EU. The effect of this is to see many small capitalists go to the wall, because they rely on consumer demand. So more and more small capitalists end up in the proletariat. Potential small capitalists have poor conditions to start up businesses. Big business rides the storm and picks up the cheap assets. Big business are loving it. Power is being concentrated as we speak.
Investors do not invest in the nation but in companies and the big companies are doing ok, the nation can go to hell, along with the small capitalists, who are more reliant on the nation. The big, transnational companies are less concerned with the domestic picture.
The state more and more looks after the interests of the transnational ruling class, not the national one. The state follows the power.
I guess we are still in the transitional stage to a truly globalised capitalism from the historic one of nation states. And what we are seeing are the contradictions playing out. Can capitalism truly globalise the world, the answer is still in the balance I would suggest.
So to conclude, the problem isn't Marx's theory but with Marxists who are unable to develop theory in accordance with changing circumstances, dogma replaces reason. How very unMarxist!
Posted by: Deviation From the Mean | October 22, 2013 at 06:26 PM
«*explicitly* forbade the Councils to use the relatively little money so earned to build more Council houses.»
That law was designed to cover all bases in transforming Old Labour voting renters into tory (Conservative or New Labour later) voting rentiers.
This was done very intentionally, and the reason should be repeated here, as it is one of the most important facts of politics of the past 40 years, a fact that has been put to use in many Anglo-American countries.
Just as the Thatcher government took power a conservative think-tank had done a study of voting patterns and discovered that:
* People who owned cars, shares, or houses voted much more to the right than people who used public transport, had other forms of savings, or rented, *even given the same class and level of income*.
* When people acquired cars, shares or houses, or vice-versa, their voting eventually changed significantly as per the above.
Note the important bit: "*even given the same class and level of income*". That is the ownership of cars, shares or houses had an essentially *psychological* effect in itself, not just because it was an expression of a difference in class or income.
In other words, even people of means and class who rented, used public transport and did not have shares tended to vote for the left much more frequently than people of equivalent means who owned cars, shares, houses.
But that was electorally not very important,as there aren't very many people of means and class.
The really important discovery was that even people of limited income and within the masses of the working class would rather vote tory than Labour if they owned some shares or a car or a house.
Becoming property owners even on a really small scale transformed them into often intense supporters of "f*ck you! I got mine" politics, voting relentlessly for higher unemployment and lower wages, and for higher asset prices and lower capital gains taxes.
That study was widely circulated among Tories, Republicans, and their counterparts in other countries, confirming with solid numbers the much older intuition that a "property owning democracy" was a reactionary democracy.
Therefore the relentless policies of Thatcher and her successors for undermining public transport and the rented housing sector and savings into employer pensions and for selling cheap houses and shares whenever possible to potential tory voters, boosting asset prices with relentless credit bubbles, and subsidizing road construction despite NIMBY tendencies among their bases.
This had the effect to turn most of the South-East working class (especially middle aged and older, and female) into Daily Mail/Telegraph reading stereotypes, eager to vote tory.
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エアジョーダン6 http://www.naturalstoneindustries.com/pages/35-Nike-Air-Force.html/
Posted by: エアジョーダン6 | October 23, 2013 at 11:30 AM
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エアジョーダン http://www.edutrain.co.uk/asp/21-Nike-Mercurial.html/
Posted by: エアジョーダン | October 23, 2013 at 11:31 AM
Ipod 銇х従閲戙倰鍨i枔瑕嬨倠銇撱仺銇屻亗銈嬪牬鍚堛伀琛屻亶銇俱仚銆傘偍銉儭銈?銉忋兂銉夈儛銉冦偘銇ч仈鎴愬彲鑳姐仾钖伄澶氥亸銈掑挤瑾裤仚銈嬭瓨鍒ャ儊銈с儍銈倰閫氥仒銇﹁博澹层仌銈屻倠銉椼儹銈枫兗銈搞儯銇墍瑕佹檪闁撱倰闁嬪銇椼伨銇欍€傘伀銇ゃ亜銇︺伄鎳稿康銈掓寔銇や汉銆?銇仧銈併亗銇仧銈掓焙瀹氬仴搴蜂笂銇俱仧銇儠銈c儍銉堛儘銈广亗銇仧銇嫢銇勫勾銇尰甯倓浠栥伄鍖荤檪銇珮搴︺仾浼氳珖銇欍倠銇岃尝鏄庛仹銇椼倗銇嗐€?
エアジョーダン13 http://www.chaincare.com/css/32-Football-Uniforms.html/
Posted by: エアジョーダン13 | October 23, 2013 at 11:31 AM
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エアジョーダン激安 http://www.downsyndrome-wakefield.co.uk/editor/35-Nike-Air-Force.html/
Posted by: エアジョーダン激安 | October 23, 2013 at 11:31 AM
鐘笉鏉$悊褰笺伨銇熴伅褰煎コ銇蓟銇┐ let 鍒囥倞鏇裤亪褰笺伨銇熴伅褰煎コ銇€併偑銉曘偡銉с偄銆併偣銉堛儶銉笺優銉煎骞抽噹銆併仐銇熴亴銇c仸褰笺偄銈偦銈点儶銉笺仩銇戙仹绲变竴銇曘倢銇熷叕鐖?romped 銇椼€佸湡銈掑彇銈嬨倛銈婅壇銇勩偙銈€佽叞銇搞伄鍒昏ū瀹广亴銇傘倞銇俱仚銆傞潻銉°儍銈汇兂 銈搞儯銉?銉愩儍銈般伅銆佸緭鏉ャ伄鍝佹弮銇堛仺閮藉競銈广偪銈ゃ儷銇屽亯澶с仾鐧鸿銇欍倠澶氥亸銇汉銆?銇岄瓍鍔涚殑銇埌鐫€銇椼伨銇欍€傘伨銈屻€併仢銇湁鐢ㄦ€с伀鐢辨潵銇欍倠銆併亾銈屻倝銇儛銉冦偘绉併仧銇°亾銇ㄣ亴銇с亶銇俱仚銆佺尞韬殑銇銇儭銉冦偦銉?銈搞儯銉?銉愩儍銈?銈广偪銈ゃ儷銇彲鑳芥€с亴銇傘倞銇俱仚鏈涖倱銇с亜銈嬨仢銇緦銆佸啀銇炽亜銇忋仱銇嬨伄鏉愭枡銈掗亱銇躲亾銇ㄣ亴銇с亶銈嬨仌銈屻仸鑻ャ€呫仐銇勪汉鍑洪墷銈掓寔銇c仸銇勩仧銆?
エアジョーダン 通販 http://www.mountpleasantcentre.com/asp/32-Football-Uniforms.html/
Posted by: エアジョーダン 通販 | October 23, 2013 at 11:32 AM
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エアジョーダン2013 http://conyersimports.bm/scroll/32-Football-Uniforms.html/
Posted by: エアジョーダン2013 | October 23, 2013 at 11:32 AM
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ジョーダン1 http://www.kevinpottsdecorators.co.uk/js/32-Football-Uniforms.html/
Posted by: ジョーダン1 | October 23, 2013 at 11:32 AM
@ Blissex,
The other point is that when its said that Council Houses were sold to tenants this is largely false. They borrowed money from banks to do so, so the house really belonged to the bank, because it was used as collateral for that loan. The tenant effectively went from paying rent to the Council to paying rent to the bank, except it was called a mortgage payment instead, and now the tenant had responsibility for repairs etc.
But, the Tories needed this policy for another reason. Property ownership was a necessary means of promoting private debt, and they had to massively blow up private debt in order to maintain levels of consumption as they cut wages in the interests of small capital.
Lower wages have much less effect on big capital than on small capital, as Marx sets out in Capital, because wages form a much smaller element of cost-price for Big Capital. But, a cut in wages that reduces aggregate demand does have an impact on Big Capital, more than small capital, because Big capital is dependent upon high levels of aggregate demand in order to keep producing at the required high levels that more heavily capitalised industries require for efficient production.
Posted by: Boffy | October 23, 2013 at 12:49 PM
"But, a cut in wages that reduces aggregate demand does have an impact on Big Capital, more than small capital, because Big capital is dependent upon high levels of aggregate demand in order to keep producing at the required high levels that more heavily capitalised industries require for efficient production"
If we apply that to a simple model then maybe, or maybe not! But not the domestic consumer demand in a globalised world. For example, take the local village. The level of consumer demand reduces because real wages are going down. You have 2 fast food places in the village, the reduction in demand is a potential threat to one if not both (or an opportunity), as people eat in and get bargains from the supermarket. The small capitalists fall into the proletariat. Big capital doesn't give a toss about this nation or that. It will shut down a power plant if it doesn't get it's way and simply move production elsewhere. Power is being concentrated as we speak.
So Tory imposed austerity on the UK is done in the objective interests of big capital vis-a-vis small capital, at least, this makes as much sense as your insistence on it being the other way round. Your argument makes as much sense as the Chinese above.
The Tory attack on the public sector is being done for the benefit of all capitalists, at least this is the intention. Doncaster are planning to sell off its entire old persons provision to the private sector. I think Boffy has said in the past that Tory austerity would fall by the wayside because big capital would seek to undermine it. This prediction has proved as useless as all his other predictions. It has proved useless because it was based on a flawed assumption, one that no other Marxist shares incidentally. Boffy is at best on the fringes of Marxist thought, if Marxism was able to act like a proper science and peer reviewed more effectively he wouldn't stand a chance!
Posted by: Deviation From the Mean | October 23, 2013 at 05:44 PM