Most of the retrospectives on Tony Blair, prompted by the 20th anniversary of his becoming Labour leader strike me as missing something.
Whilst I agree with Stephen, James and John that Britain was better place when Blair left office than when he arrived, I also largely agree with Janan:
He governed with the grain of history, nudging it along from time to time, but never upending a country that was functioning well enough.
By the 1990s, Britons wanted their market economy to come with better public services, and Mr Blair gave them some approximation of that settlement. They had grown liberal on cultural questions and he reflected this.
For me, though, he had one massive failing which is largely overlooked. It's his managerialist ideology, as evidenced by: his endless guff about leadership; his belief in a "modernity" which only an elite could discern; his belief that the right technocratic policies could overcome tradeoffs between equality and efficiency; and his overconfidence about the powers of government.
It's this faith in leadership and elites that has helped to sustain the ideology (and narcissism) which underpins the increasing wealth of the 1%.
I suspect it was this ideology that also gave us the Iraq war. In some respects, this was much like that other catastrophic decision of the 00s - RBS's takeover of ABN Amro. Both were risky decisions made by small groups of men on the basis of limited and ambiguous information whose overconfidence had been inflated by earlier successes: the Sierra Leone and Kosovo interventions in Blair's case and the Natwest takeover in Goodwin's.
I say this as a counterweight to a common view on the left, expressed by the Guardian, which seems to think there are two Blairs: the mildly benign domestic one and the unleasher of carnage in Iraq. But the two are the same man; the same confidence in government that increased public spending also gave us the Iraq war.
Herein, though, lies something else that's overlooked. For all his talk of leadership and modernity, productivity in the public services stagnated under Blair. In this sense, his managerialism failed at home as well as abroad.
I don't say this to wholly condemn him. Janan is wrong in one respect where Blair deserves credit; he was more open to immigration than the voters.
Herein, though, lies a minor tragedy. Blair's successors (in both main parties) seem to be inheriting his managerialism whilst ditching his cosmopolitanism. As Antony said of Julius Caesar:
The evil that men do lives after them;
The good is oft interred with their bones.
I, too, rather agree with Janan Ganesh, though I'm not sure that you're right to criticise Tony Blair on managerialist grounds. The electorate requires politicians to claim impractical powers, so it's kind of unreasonable to object when they do so. Or, to parry your quote from Julius Caesar, "the fault, dear Brutus, lies not in the stars but in ourselves".
Posted by: Churm Rincewind | July 22, 2014 at 03:48 PM
The labour goverment aims in 1997 were to decrease disparages in wealth, education and health outcomes. They had a large overall parlimentary majority and an economic boom to work with. I read somewhere that they did not acheive any of those three aims. So does that tell us something about what government can acheive of its aims.
Posted by: Dinero | July 22, 2014 at 05:32 PM
Typo - disparities
Posted by: Dinero | July 22, 2014 at 05:36 PM
I think you're unnecessarily narrow in identifying Blair's "managerialist ideology" as his weakness. This was clearly just an aspect of a wider commitment to neoliberalism at home and abroad, which included the privileging of The City, his mugging by US neocons over Iraq, and his subsequent ascension to the global 0.01%
Janan Ganesh makes the astute point that "he did not come from anywhere in particular". His problem was not over-confidence, but a lack of the groundedness that encourages caution or scepticism. It's worth remembering that long before the "Bliar" meme, his nickname was "Bambi".
Posted by: Dave Timoney | July 22, 2014 at 06:32 PM
Fuck, I thought the war mongering, mass murdering bastard had died.
Posted by: theOnlySanePersonOnPlanetEarth | July 22, 2014 at 07:51 PM
"productivity in the public services stagnated"
Isn't that unsurprising?
Public services were relatively underfunded pre-1997 and relatively well funded post-1997.
Increasing funding wasn't going to increase productivity, was it? You'd expect threadbare public services to be relatively efficient.
Posted by: Martin S | July 23, 2014 at 11:35 AM
The point that rings a bell with me is the one about "his belief in a "modernity" which only an elite could discern". He simply thought that some views were old-fashioned and if some members of his own party held those opinions then they simply had to be by-passed. Thus the fetish for globalisation and the naming of those who had a critique of globalisation as "Luddites". Thus the belief that those who questioned the idea of invading Iraq as "anti-American" and thus on the wrong side of history. Spin played a role in hiding the key issues; he and his spin-doctors knew what phrases would get certain sections of the press on-side but this created an echo chamber effect with no-one pointing out that these were talking-points and not real issues about how the world works.
His own party didn't question this very much because it seemed to be a vote-winning formula. Party members seemed to be surprised that members of the public would turn up to meetings and question Blair's assertions and assumptions about Iraq. But even before that people were questioning the assumptions and assertions behind policies like Academy Schools and Foundation Hospitals, which were debates that his Party had barely had.
The London Underground PPP and the whole of PFI - these were supposedly Brown's policies but Blair was PM - did he not understand them? In general the whole thing about "private - public partnerships" was a failure to understand that private sector suppliers to the public sector have to be kept under control and not brought inside the tent.
In short, Blair understood little about the world and was too driven by the idea of being different from Attlee and Wilson. He was too focused on short-term popularity to be able to tackle the UK's dependencies, such as on oil, the financial sector and the USA.
Posted by: Guano | July 23, 2014 at 06:39 PM
The passing on an Assisted Dying Act can't come soon enough.
Posted by: Doug | July 24, 2014 at 02:38 PM
"Fuck, I thought the war mongering, mass murdering bastard had died."
Not when there's millions to rake in... and his mate W's case... canvases to deface.
Posted by: jcee | July 25, 2014 at 12:29 AM