Should everybody have a right to drive? Most of you would say not. Some people are incompetent, reckless or drunk drivers who endanger others. They should be kept off the road for everyone’s safety.
Jason Brennan’s argument in Against Democracy is that what’s true of driving is also true of voting. Some voters are so irrational and ill-informed that their preferences endanger the rest of us. Just as we have a right to be protected from bad drivers, so we should be protected from bad voters. He favours epistocracy – rule of the knowledgeable – over democracy.
I find his argument only half-convincing. He’s strong at showing just how badly informed voters are. He’s also good at undermining the conventional arguments for a right to vote. For example, because your vote almost certainly won’t affect the outcome of an election, you lose no power by being denied a vote. Nor are your rights of self-expression limited: you can express yourselves in countless other ways.
What’s more, he says, political expression often brings out the worst in us. He cites Shanto Iyengar and Sean Westwood’s research (pdf) which shows extreme polarization between Democrats and Republicans, but a moment spent watching Question Time would also vindicate him.
Nor, he says, would unequal voting rights undermine equality of status. For example, I might know more about economic policy than my plumber. But this doesn’t and shouldn’t mean I’m a better person than him, any more than his superior knowledge of plumbing makes him my superior. Brennan says:
We should stop viewing the right to vote as a badge of equal status and instead regard it as having no more symbolic power than a hunting or plumbing licence.
Brennan is also unworried by the possibility that an unequal franchise would give more votes to (say) richer white men than to black women. For one thing, he says, if this is the case it’s the product of past injustices and is an argument for rectifying those.
I’m unsure of this. Certainly, the fact that gender, class and racial injustices have persisted for decades after women, workers and blacks have had the vote suggests that universal suffrage isn’t sufficient to achieve justice. But might it be necessary? Brennan thinks not. He argues that people don’t vote in their self-interest, so under-represented groups would be protected by others. I'd prefer stronger safeguards.
Where Brennan is persuasive, I think, is in arguing that our right to competent government is stronger than a right to vote. As he says:
Just as it would be wrong to force me to go under the knife of an incompetent surgeon or sail with an incompetent ship captain, it seems wrong to force me to submit to the decisions of incompetent voters.
However, I have two big gripes with his theory.
One is that he seems vague about the form of epistocracy.
One possibility he suggests is that voters should set ends and informed politicians should choose means, as a man might tell a ship’s captain his destination but allow him to choose how to get there. For me, this doesn’t work. What if the ends are unattainable? And is there a distinction between ends and means? For example, is Brexit an end in itself or is it a means?
Another possibility is that bad candidates whom the voters choose can be vetoed by an “epistocratic council.” This seems impractical. Can you imagine what would happen if Trump were to be elected president but an “elite” were to prevent him taking office?
Merely raising this question highlights a virtue of democracy which Brennan under-rates: it is a way of keeping the peace by placating the mob.
We might, however, read Brennan in a different way. Our actually-existing democracies have in fact always had epistocratic elements. In a parliamentary democracy our elected representatives should exercise superior judgment on our behalf. (And if they don't, that's because epistocracy doesn't go far enough). And independent institutions – such as central banks and the judiciary – help to prevent bad choices. One can read Brennan as a defence of these epistocratic institutions against referenda and populist sentiments. And this makes his book so very valuable now.
Alternatively our elites might consider relearning the art of persuasion rather than simply attempting to smear opponents as unconscionable monsters.
It unarguably worked for a while however it seems the magic has quite worn off.
Posted by: Scratch | November 04, 2016 at 02:22 PM
Actually, I think everyone would agree that we all have the *right* to drive. The distinction is whether we are qualified to drive, which means an objective test of capability based on commonly-agreed norms.
Similarly, an epistocracy does not necessarily impinge on the universal right to vote, any more than the temporary disenfranchisement of prisoners does. What matters is the mechanism. For example, a system that required voters to show a minimum level of knowledge would potentially allow everyone to vote. The problem with most epistocratic schemes is that they seek to reduce the franchise, either through socially biased qualifications (e.g. university degrees) or through random selection (e.g. sortition).
I've not read Brennan's book, but to judge by your review (and others) it is little more than a rehash of Plato's ship of fools: a rational "against" that falls apart when it attempts to describe the "for". You'd think the persistent failure over millennia to come up with a compelling case for epistocracy might strike political scientists as a clue. Democracy, as Churchill noted, succeeds because it is least worst.
Ultimately, arguments for epistocracy are arguments for the demotion of groups within society, either by outright exclusion or by relative disadvantage (e.g. Mill's idea on supplementary votes). They are inherently resentful and reactionary, which is why they struggle to move from the weary disgust of "against" to the positive articulation of "for".
An alternative reading of contemporary affairs is that what you refer to as our "epistocratic institutions" are actually democratic, in that they seek to reflect the interests of groups who feel they were demoted by the EU referendum. The "them vs us" that has arisen since June reflects the way that plebiscites become acts of qualification. Demanding that the vote be restricted to people who wear poppies is no more ridiculous than demanding it be restricted to graduates.
Posted by: Dave Timoney | November 04, 2016 at 03:08 PM
"it seems wrong to force me to submit to the decisions of incompetent voters."
Someone is a special snowflake.
Posted by: Bob | November 04, 2016 at 03:17 PM
You're right Chris and so too @ scratch. You mention QT. Disappointing, no guest willing and able to represent a constitutional view of the judiciary, yet known for days the judgement would be given on Thursday.
Posted by: e | November 04, 2016 at 03:19 PM
«Another possibility is that bad candidates whom the voters choose can be vetoed by an “epistocratic council.” This seems impractical.»
See Iran, with the Guardian Council.
Posted by: Miguel Madeira | November 04, 2016 at 03:30 PM
You can hear him discussing his book and ideas here: http://economicsdetective.com/2016/09/democracy-versus-epistocracy-jason-brennan/
Posted by: SimonF | November 04, 2016 at 04:07 PM
Anyone who thinks epistocracy is the answer is probably asking the wrong question.
Politics is ultimately about making value judgements - decisions about what we "ought" to do. But Hume persuasively showed us that no amount of knowledge can get us to an "ought".
Knowledge might be able to tell us whether immigration will help or hinder economic growth, but it can't tell us whether we ought to favour economic growth over having fewer foreigners live in the UK.
So the problem with modern politics is not that the electorate is ignorant, but that we've allowed ignorance (and knowledge) to become relevant. Most political debates are now spent arguing about facts - which frankly, should be settled by the experts and academics. Elections should be about choosing the values we want to pursue and the direction we want the country to go in.
Posted by: Adam | November 04, 2016 at 08:30 PM
"...it seems wrong to force me to submit to the decisions of incompetent voters."
My problem is that he wants to be the one who decides which voters are competent, which are incompetent. I'm not sure that we know how to do that. And don't tell me that someone could devise a "civics" or "public-policy knowledge" test that would answer that question. I've seen tests that purport to do that and the obvious class and race biases in every one of them I have ever seen are pretty amazing. And, what do I (or people like me) really know about the lives of other people whom we might deem to be "unqualified" to vote? Not much.
So universal rights to vote for everyone (over age 18?) might not be perfect, but, like democracy, it's better than any of the alternatives I have ever seen proposed.
Posted by: Donald A. Coffin | November 05, 2016 at 01:51 AM
Is the fault that of the voters however? Surely there are two other problems. 1, that no one can be an expert on every question. We all rely on leadership from other people on many issues. So an informative press and media is a vital element in a liberal democracy and we have a very skewed media in the US and UK. Also 2, politicians need to show leadership. Including moral leadership and integrity. Cameron held a referendum on departure from the EU to avoid splitting his party and the right wing vote. Rather than argue for what he and his chancellor really believed in. In the USA the GOP has encouraged the most ignorant bigoted part of the public to believe in lies and falsehoods deliberately to gain power. They skew where they can the electoral districts in their parties favour and engage in voter suppression. The failure to actually debate real policy choices, consider facts and complexity and call out moral failure is lamentable and a key problem. It is a problem of the elite failing to provide leadership and act with integrity. Voters are not to be blamed for living their life rather than spending all their time on correcting the failures of the ruling class and media. How are they supposed to do that anyway? That is like blaming the conscripted tommy for the first world war rather than the secret diplomacy of the foreign secretaries and generals.
As a way of deciding EU policy single question plebiscites are of course a bad idea as they allow the public to be driven to support contradictory arguments. The EU referendum answers none of the key questions about what the UK should do now as it was never designed to decide policy but only keep Cameron in power. If you want a reasonable answer to a problem you ask a meaningful question in the first place. Rather than a question that can be answered any way those in power wish it answered ex post facto.
Posted by: Keith | November 05, 2016 at 11:28 PM
Does Brennan distinguish between modern liberal democracy and more local types of democracy (workplace, local govt, community)? I know you've argued before that the latter are more likely to produce better outcomes as they take advantage of Hayekian knowledge and participants have more of a personal stake in the outcomes.
Posted by: UnlearningEcon | November 06, 2016 at 10:10 AM
Adam and Arse to Elbow have it right. The problem is not the who, it is the how. Perhaps we need to approach election preparation in a new way. Marketing has a lot to answer for (mainly in creating a infantilised population). But the guy who suggested that people should show some sort of minimal understanding of the PARTICULAR issues AT STAKE first before voting, had an interesting idea.
Posted by: reason | November 06, 2016 at 05:49 PM
«Some voters are so irrational and ill-informed that their preferences endanger the rest of us. Just as we have a right to be protected from bad drivers, so we should be protected from bad voters.»
But democracy is not about getting "the best" decisions, in part because what is best depends on interests, not knowledge, and is anyhow often highly uncertain.
But mostly because democracy is about ensuring that voters who make bad decisions suffer their consequences, and vice-versa that if bad decisions are made to ensure that they have been made by voters.
If voters continue to make bad decisions despite suffering their consequences, too bad for them.
In the case where some voters think that «we should be protected from bad voters», the solution is not disenfranchisement of the «bad voters», but *secession* into two polities, so that the voters of each polity be fully accountable to themselves for the consequences of their votes.
Disenfranchisement results in some people being made to suffer the consequences of decisions taken by other people, and that is not democracy, properly speaking.
Posted by: Blissex | November 08, 2016 at 01:26 PM
Agree with blissex.
Posted by: Bob | November 08, 2016 at 05:36 PM
Another possibility is that bad candidates whom the voters choose can be vetoed by an “epistocratic council.”
This of course is the perfect solution as exemplified by Iran.
Posted by: rumplestiltskin | November 09, 2016 at 02:21 AM